Friday, February 5, 2010

An Interesting Look at Standard Deviations (3)

Bespoke Investment Group presented a chart showing the relationship of the S&P 500 and its 50 day moving average along with the area that's 3 standard deviations above and below that number. The recent correction of nearly 10% got to the lower mark on the 3 standard deviation level. It helped that there was a big lack of volatility before the market made its recent plunge.


It remains to be seen whether this is a tradable indicator.





Friday, January 1, 2010

This Could Mean Trouble Ahead for the Stock Market

Notice how the percentage of bears in the AAII survey is two standard deviations from the one-year average.


Source:

Sentiment's Edge

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